UEFA U19 ChampionshipUEFA U19 Championship
Thursday, 2 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Croatia U19

Croatia U19

Home
LWD
00
Full time
Italy U19

Italy U19

Away
DLD
The Oval
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Italy U19(45%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Croatia U19
26%
Draw
30%
Italy U19
45%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Croatia U19
34
Italy U19
9
Defence
Croatia U19
66
Italy U19
86
Momentum
Croatia U19
44
Italy U19
22
Danger (xG)
Croatia U19
0.90
Italy U19
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Croatia U19)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Italy U19)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Croatia U19)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Italy U19)
0.30
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Croatia U19Croatia U19
LWDL
Italy U19Italy U19
DLDW

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Croatia U1926%
Draw30%
Italy U1945%

Italy U19 leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Croatia U19 head into this in UEFA U19 Championship fixture at The Oval in mixed form (LWD), while Italy U19 arrive in mixed form (DLD). Croatia U19 have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Italy U19 over 3 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Croatia U19 (66/100) and Italy U19 (86/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Croatia U19 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Italy U19 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Italy U19 to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Croatia U19 2550%, Draw 2970%, Italy U19 4470%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Croatia U19 0Draws 10 Italy U19
Avg goals: 0.0
2 Jul 2026
Croatia U19
D00
Italy U19

Recent form

Croatia U19

Croatia U19

L
@ Spain U19
8 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Serbia U19
5 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Italy U19
2 Jul 2026
00
L
vs Ukraine U19
29 Jun 2026
13
Italy U19

Italy U19

D
@ Denmark U19
8 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Ukraine U19
5 Jul 2026
01
D
@ Croatia U19
2 Jul 2026
00
W
vs Serbia U19
29 Jun 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Italy U19 to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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