Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tupy FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
15%
MediumconfidenceCrixás EC are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Tupy FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and tupy FC hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (30.9 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Goiano - 2, favouring Tupy FC with 14.8% confidence, a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tupy FC
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
14.8%
Tupy FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Crixás ECDDLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25
BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Tupy FCDLLWD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Crixás ECTupy FC
41.7Attack16.7
25.0Defence75.0
16.7Form33.3
30.9Power44.6
0.95xG1.10