Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morrinhos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crixás EC are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Morrinhos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Morrinhos hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Goiano - 2, while Morrinhos holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morrinhos
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
12.7%
Morrinhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00