Cristóbal Colón JASvs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Copa Paraguay · 8/26/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cristóbal Colón JAS 3-5 Olimpia
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.41 | 6.3% | 29.0% | 22.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.56 | 13.9% | 25.0% | 11.1 pts |
| Away | 1.14 | 79.8% | 46.1% | -33.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40