Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Criciuma are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Tombense are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Criciuma hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Serie B, while Criciuma holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Criciuma
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.33/0.33
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50