Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Criciuma are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CRB are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Criciuma hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Serie B, while Criciuma holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Criciuma
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60