Criciumavs
Botafogo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 4/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Criciuma are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Botafogo SP are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Criciuma hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00