Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Criciuma are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Avai are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Criciuma hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Serie B, while Criciuma holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Criciuma
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75