GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Criciuma are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Athletic Club are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Criciuma hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CriciumaWLWWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Athletic ClubWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CriciumaAthletic Club
36.5Attack33.3
77.8Defence71.4
63.5Form49.2
62.1Power54.1
0.69xG0.42
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