Criciumavs
America Mineiro
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/12/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Criciuma 1-0 America Mineiro, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Criciuma 1-0 America Mineiro
Original prediction
Criciuma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 70.6% | 63.7% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.9% | 25.1% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 9.81 | 9.5% | 11.3% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Projected Score
Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Criciuma
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CriciumaLWWLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
America MineiroLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
CriciumaAmerica Mineiro
34.4Attack21.9
70.8Defence44.8
55.2Form17.7
55.4Power30.8
1.32xG0.35