Criciuma U20vs
Flamengo U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/20/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Criciuma U20 0-2 Flamengo U20
Original prediction
Flamengo U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.2% | 34.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 24.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.7% | 41.4% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo U20
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Flamengo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40