Criciuma U20vs
Barra SC U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Criciuma U20 3-0 Barra SC U20
Original prediction
Criciuma U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.3% | 45.5% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.4% | 25.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.3% | 29.0% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Criciuma U20
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Criciuma U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40