Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceCrewe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wigan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CreweWDLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WiganDLLDW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CreweWigan
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24