Crewevs
Newcastle United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/21/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crewe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crewe are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Crewe hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Crewe holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crewe
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33