GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crewe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mansfield Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Mansfield Town hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 64.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the League Two, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mansfield Town

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CreweLWLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Mansfield TownWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
CreweMansfield Town
48.3Attack65.2
53.1Defence65.9
50.3Form62.3
52.4Power64.1
1.02xG1.73
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