Crewevs
Liverpool U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/14/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crewe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crewe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crewe hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Crewe holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crewe
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40