Crewevs
Liverpool U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 8/27/2024, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crewe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crewe are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Crewe hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Crewe holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crewe
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.50/2.75