GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crewe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crewe are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Harrogate Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.7 against 37.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Crewe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crewe

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CreweWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Harrogate TownDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CreweHarrogate Town
22.2Attack55.6
44.4Defence11.1
33.3Form33.3
36.7Power37.2
1.92xG1.63
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