Crevillentevs
Buñol
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · 10/25/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crevillente · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crevillente 0-1 Buñol
Original prediction
Crevillente
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.4% | 39.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 29.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.7% | 31.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Crevillente
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Crevillente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60