Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gobelins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Creteil are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gobelins are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gobelins hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gobelins holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gobelins
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60