Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cremonese · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cremonese are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Crotone have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cremonese hold a 49.4-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Coppa Italia, while Cremonese holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cremonese
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Cremonese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00