Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crema · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crema 4-1 Pontedera
Original prediction
Crema
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 02:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Crema
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Crema has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CremaDLDDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PontederaWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CremaPontedera
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24