GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kamuzu Barracks · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Creck are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kamuzu Barracks are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kamuzu Barracks hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.4% in the Super League, while Kamuzu Barracks holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kamuzu Barracks

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

20.4%

Kamuzu Barracks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CreckDLDWW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kamuzu BarracksDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CreckKamuzu Barracks
19.4Attack36.1
52.8Defence52.8
13.9Form30.6
31.5Power41.2
0.69xG0.97
View match centre →