CRBvs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CRB 2-1 Sport Recife
Original prediction
Sport Recife
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.0% | 36.6% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.2% | 26.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.7% | 36.8% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Sport Recife
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20