Serie BSerie B
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 14:55
CRB

CRB

Home
WDLW
21
Full time
Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife

Away
LL
Estádio Rei Pelé
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Draw(27%)
Prediction missed— Result: CRB
Win probability
CRB
50%
Draw
27%
Nautico Recife
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
CRB
44
Nautico Recife
18
Defence
CRB
27
Nautico Recife
27
Momentum
CRB
58
Nautico Recife
0
Danger (xG)
CRB
1.11
Nautico Recife
0.95
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (CRB)
1.11
avg per match
xG for (Nautico Recife)
0.95
avg per match
xG against (CRB)
1.57
avg per match
xG against (Nautico Recife)
1.94
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CRBCRB
WDLWD
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
LLLLW

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
CRB50%
Draw27%
Nautico Recife23%

CRB leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

CRB head into this in Serie B fixture at Estádio Rei Pelé in decent form (WDLW), while Nautico Recife arrive in mixed form (LL). CRB have a 50% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 0% for Nautico Recife over 2 games.

The model rates CRB's attack at 44/100 against a 27/100 Nautico Recife defence, and Nautico Recife's attack at 18/100 against a 27/100 CRB backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

CRB have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Nautico Recife have won 1 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

CRB have generated 1.75 xG per game recently while conceding 0.89 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Nautico Recife have generated 1.01 xG per game recently while conceding 2.08 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

CRB have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 50% confidence. Win probabilities: CRB 4968%, Draw 2692%, Nautico Recife 2340%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

CRB 1Draws 00 Nautico Recife
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
CRB
W21
Nautico Recife

Recent form

CRB

CRB

W
vs Nautico Recife
17 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Goias
12 Jul 2026
22
xG 1.8
L
@ Londrina
4 Jul 2026
05
W
@ Botafogo SP
1 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Fortaleza EC
21 Jun 2026
11
Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife

L
@ CRB
17 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Avai
12 Jul 2026
02
xG 1.0
L
vs Goias
28 Jun 2026
01
L
@ Vila Nova
20 Jun 2026
34
W
@ Operario-PR
16 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win CRB vs Nautico Recife?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for CRB vs Nautico Recife?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in CRB vs Nautico Recife?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CRB vs Nautico Recife?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more