Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CRB 0-0 Cuiaba, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
CRB 3-0 Cuiaba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.8% | 34.9% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.0% | 30.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 24.2% | 34.3% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
CRB 0–0 Cuiaba
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CRBLWLWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CuiabaWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CRBCuiaba
48.3Attack34.5
52.9Defence74.7
51.7Form49.4
52.6Power54.5
0.78xG0.89