Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CRB 0-0 Criciuma, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
CRB 2-1 Criciuma
Original prediction
Criciuma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.7% | 31.5% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 30.7% | 31.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.6% | 37.3% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Projected Score
CRB 0–0 Criciuma
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Criciuma
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CRBLWDWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CriciumaLDWLD
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CRBCriciuma
48.6Attack34.7
52.8Defence76.4
50.0Form61.1
52.1Power60.2
0.72xG0.92