CRBvs
Botafogo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CRB · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CRB 0-1 Botafogo SP
Original prediction
CRB
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.6% | 49.1% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.1% | 25.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 5.34 | 17.3% | 25.3% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
CRB
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
CRB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CRBDWLWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Botafogo SPWWLWD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CRBBotafogo SP
51.5Attack37.4
52.5Defence61.6
52.5Form41.4
53.6Power48.6
1.30xG0.95