Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CRB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CRB are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Avai are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CRB hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Serie B, while CRB holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CRB
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
13.5%
CRB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40