CRBvs
Atletico Goianiense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/7/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Goianiense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CRB 3-1 Atletico Goianiense
Original prediction
Atletico Goianiense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.9% | 35.6% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.2% | 27.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.9% | 36.8% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Goianiense
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Atletico Goianiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40