Cray Wanderersvs
Welling United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Welling United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cray Wanderers 4-1 Welling United
Original prediction
Welling United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.1% | 29.2% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.3% | 44.9% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Welling United
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Welling United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80