Cray Wanderersvs
Lewes
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cray Wanderers 1-2 Lewes
Original prediction
Cray Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.0% | 42.4% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 25.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.1% | 32.3% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Cray Wanderers
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Cray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60