Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Cray Wanderers

Cray Wanderers

Home
W
31
Full time
Folkestone Invicta

Folkestone Invicta

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Cray Wanderers35%
Draw35%
Folkestone Invicta30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Cray Wanderers
Win probability
Cray Wanderers
35%
Draw
35%
Folkestone Invicta
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cray Wanderers
94
Folkestone Invicta
34
Defence
Cray Wanderers
66
Folkestone Invicta
6
Momentum
Cray Wanderers
100
Folkestone Invicta
0
Danger (xG)
Cray Wanderers
2.70
Folkestone Invicta
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.44 xG for Cray Wanderers and 1.19 xG for Folkestone Invicta — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Cray Wanderers holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.63 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Cray Wanderers)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Folkestone Invicta)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Cray Wanderers)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Folkestone Invicta)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Cray WanderersCray Wanderers
W
Folkestone InvictaFolkestone Invicta
L

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Cray Wanderers35%
Draw35%
Folkestone Invicta30%

Cray Wanderers leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Cray Wanderers Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Cray Wanderers host Folkestone Invicta in Friendlies Clubs. Cray Wanderers have recorded LWWLLW in recent matches while Folkestone Invicta arrive with a run of LDLWLL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.3 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.44 for Cray Wanderers and 1.19 for Folkestone Invicta. The gap of 1.25 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Cray Wanderers have been conceding 1.57 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Cray Wanderers 1Draws 00 Folkestone Invicta
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Cray Wanderers
W31
Folkestone Invicta

Recent form

Cray Wanderers

Cray Wanderers

W
vs Folkestone Invicta
14 Jul 2026
31
Folkestone Invicta

Folkestone Invicta

L
@ Cray Wanderers
14 Jul 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Folkestone Invicta?

GoalVio's model predicts Cray Wanderers to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cray Wanderers vs Folkestone Invicta?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Cray Wanderers vs Folkestone Invicta?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cray Wanderers vs Folkestone Invicta?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more