Cray Wanderersvs
Bedford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cray Wanderers 2-2 Bedford Town
Original prediction
Cray Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 October 2026 at 10:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.9% | 40.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 26.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.4% | 33.1% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Cray Wanderers
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Cray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00