GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Crawley Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Peterborough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 81.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownWWLDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PeterboroughWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Crawley TownPeterborough
66.7Attack75.0
46.7Defence79.2
66.7Form87.5
63.4Power81.1
1.27xG2.22
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