GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crawley Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Charlton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.4 against 63.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownDLLWD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharltonWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Crawley TownCharlton
66.7Attack91.7
46.7Defence41.7
66.7Form58.3
63.4Power63.5
2.19xG1.99
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