GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/5/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crawley Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bristol Rovers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bristol RoversDLWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
66.7Attack58.3
46.7Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
63.4Power53.2
2.12xG1.60
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