Crawley Townvs
Bristol Rovers
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/5/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crawley Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bristol Rovers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crawley Town
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80