GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crawley Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Brighton U21WLLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Crawley TownBrighton U21
66.7Attack44.4
46.7Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
63.4Power53.7
1.68xG1.39
View match centre →