Crawley Townvs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crawley Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crawley Town
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20