GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crawley Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bradford are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the League Two, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BradfordLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Crawley TownBradford
56.5Attack44.2
53.7Defence57.2
53.7Form50.0
55.2Power51.7
1.57xG1.11
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