Crawley Townvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/16/2025, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Crawley Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crawley Town
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00