Crawley Townvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Crawley Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crawley Town
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/3.00