GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crawley Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AFC WimbledonLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Crawley TownAFC Wimbledon
66.7Attack61.1
46.7Defence61.1
66.7Form55.6
63.4Power59.2
1.79xG1.70
View match centre →