Crawley Townvs
AFC Wimbledon
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crawley Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crawley Town
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40