Cracovia Krakowvs
Zaglebie Lubin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/10/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaglebie Lubin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cracovia Krakow 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Original prediction
Zaglebie Lubin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.2% | 31.2% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.0% | 27.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.9% | 41.2% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Zaglebie Lubin
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Zaglebie Lubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20