Cracovia Krakowvs
Gornik Zabrze
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/6/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gornik Zabrze · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cracovia Krakow 0-1 Gornik Zabrze
Original prediction
Gornik Zabrze
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.7% | 30.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.7% | 27.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.7% | 41.6% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Gornik Zabrze
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Gornik Zabrze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40