CR Béni Thourvs
USM Annaba
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
USM Annaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CR Béni Thour 1-2 USM Annaba
Original prediction
USM Annaba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 08:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.3% | 26.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.3% | 29.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.4% | 44.5% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
USM Annaba
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
USM Annaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80