CR Béni Thourvs
IRB Nezla
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CR Béni Thour 2-1 IRB Nezla
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.0% | 35.2% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 30.8% | 30.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.2% | 34.1% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CR Béni ThourLLLWL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IRB NezlaDWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33
BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
CR Béni ThourIRB Nezla
33.3Attack33.3
22.2Defence55.6
0.0Form44.4
22.9Power47.5
1.04xG1.24