GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 10/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CR Belouizdad · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CR Belouizdad 1-0 Khenchela

Original prediction

CR Belouizdad

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4362.5%47.8%-14.7 pts
Draw3.6924.2%28.3%4.1 pts
Away6.7513.2%23.9%10.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–114%

Predicted outcome

CR Belouizdad

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

CR Belouizdad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CR BelouizdadWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KhenchelaDDWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CR BelouizdadKhenchela
55.6Attack16.7
66.7Defence83.3
77.8Form33.3
70.7Power48.3
1.26xG0.79
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