CR Belouizdadvs
ES Setif
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 9/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CR Belouizdad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CR Belouizdad 1-0 ES Setif
Original prediction
CR Belouizdad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.5% | 45.2% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 28.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.16 | 14.7% | 26.3% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
CR Belouizdad
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
CR Belouizdad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40