Cowdenbeathvs
East Stirlingshire
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Stirlingshire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cowdenbeath 2-0 East Stirlingshire
Original prediction
East Stirlingshire
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.4% | 36.7% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.5% | 21.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.1% | 42.2% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
East Stirlingshire
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
East Stirlingshire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20