Coventry City U21vs
Swansea City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coventry City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coventry City U21 2-0 Swansea City U21
Original prediction
Coventry City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.0% | 43.0% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.7% | 21.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.3% | 35.4% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Coventry City U21
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Coventry City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40